Forecasts for American football
Football is an irresistible force that attracts millions of fans from all over the world. Some play football, the second observe the course of the match and some develop methods toon the NFL. Professionals of sports betting earn a lot of money, analyzing statistical data, comparing facts and taking as a basis daily updated knowledge, foresee the outcome of a particular duel in advance. Their recommendations are simple, but require observation and attention.
For example,strategy should exclude psychological attachment to a particular team or athlete in the forecasting process. It's easy to succumb to the desire to make a bet on your favorite team just because it leads from the beginning of the season with a win-win series of matches. Of course, when developing a strategy for predicting in football, this indicator should be taken into account, but this should not be exclusively fanatical. It is not necessary to be guided only by the certainty that the favorite team will not let you down.
Similarly, we can say about the attitude of some clients of bookmaking companies to statistics or observations in the spirit of superstition. Naturally, sports statistics must be watched. Making forecasts for NFL, you need to take into account all sorts of factors, but at the same time to think soberly and do not pay attention to the colorful enthusiastic articles of journalists with some speculation designed to attract public attention.
Speaking about the games of special importance (playoffs and finals), it should be noted that the degree of heat in the game increases at times. Such fights are always full of surprises and fatal accidents. Therefore, for bets on NFL, you should be cautious, weighing all the pros and cons. Perhaps the best solution is simply to watch the match without betting.
Super Bowl favorites have struggled to live up to expectations in recent years and we delve into why the underdog Falcons is a bet you’d be wise to consider.
The Curse of Super Bowl Favorites
The New England Patriots are listed as three-point favorites to win Super Bowl LI. Understandable. After all, the Patriots are appearing in their record ninth Super Bowl.
Tom Brady is going for his record fifth win as a Super Bowl starting quarterback, looking to break the record he shares with Terry Bradshaw and Joe Montana. Brady will also be seeking his fourth Super Bowl MVP award, which would shatter the mark he currently shares with Montana.
The Patriots have lost one game since Brady returned to the field from his four-game NFL suspension for his role in the Deflategate scandal.
Sure, there’s a lot to like about the Patriots. There’s only one tiny, little issue.
Favorites just haven’t been winning the Super Bowl lately.
You have to go all the way back to Super Bowl XLV, when the three-point favorite Green Bay Packers downed the Pittsburgh Steelers 31-25, to find a Super Bowl where the favored team carried the day.
Five straight underdogs have come out on top on Super Bowl Sunday. Two of the last 15 Super Bowls have been won by the underdog.
Curiously enough, that streak began with Super Bowl XXXVI, when the Patriots, 14-point underdogs against the St. Louis Rams, beat the Rams 20-17 on Adam Vinatieri’s last-second field goal.
Luck often hasn’t been on New England’s, or the bettor’s side, when the Patriots arrive at the Super Bowl as the betting line favorites.
The Patriots were a prohibitive 12-point choice to overcome the New York Giants in Super Bowl XLII but the Giants won 17-14, which was one of the biggest upsets in the game’s history. Four years later in Super Bowl XLVI, the Patriots were 2.5-point picks over the Giants but lost 21-17.
Twice the Patriots have won the Super Bowl straight up as seven-point favorites, but they failed to cover the spread on both occasions.
The Brady/Bill Belichick-led Patriots have thrived when going into the Super Bowl as underdogs. Besides their win over the Rams, they defeated the defending Super Bowl champion Seattle Seahawks 28-24 as a +1 underdog in Super Bowl XLIX.
Which brings us to this year’s underdog, the Atlanta Falcons. A dynamic offense led by NFL MVP favorite Matt Ryan has averaged 33 points per game while turning the ball over only 11 times.
Atlanta is 6-0 straight up and 5-1 against the spread in the last six games, putting up an average of 39 points per game during that span.
The big question is whether the Falcons can continue the underdog’s success in recent Super Bowls and prolong New England’s misery as Super Bowl favorites.
Picking the Falcons to lose by less than three points is an attractive bet you’d be wise to consider.